Calling: Singapore 2025 - Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn (CC)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marklin Spencer

dropped • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elton Siang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Edwin Kan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.47
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.83
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Billy Docherty

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.57
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Ruben Salvador

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.