Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Singapore 2025

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marklin Spencer

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elton Siang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 23:77

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Edwin Kan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Billy Docherty

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ruben Salvador

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 8:92

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.