Calling: Singapore 2025 - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (CC)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

23 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Julianto

dropped • 9-4-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harry Boulton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

85:15

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.25
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.21
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.38
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.60
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.25
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R11	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.23
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.20
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Oh Oh

dropped • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.07
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.21
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.19
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.11
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.26
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.57
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.20
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Tyler Kearney

dropped • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mohammed Mikail Bin Md Raffee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Randy Stephen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.04
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.19
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.25
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.51
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.63
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.75
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.30

Victor Mercado

dropped • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.25
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.21
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.41
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.16
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.68
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.45
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brayden Pritchard

dropped • 8-5-0

69%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 85:15

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.04
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.22
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.17
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.69
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.22
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.57
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.85
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.50
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

John Zapata

dropped • 8-5-0

62%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Hodges (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.04
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.28
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.13
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.34
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.83
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.50
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.75
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ralph Schlauri

dropped • 8-5-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.11
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.14
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.50
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.38
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.66
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.41

Scott Mackenzie

dropped • 7-5-0

58%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Melvin Chow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xiang jun Wee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.21
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.18
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.79
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.75
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Darren Goh

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.07
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.62
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.44
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.08
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Emma Hollingsworth

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.45
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.08
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong

dropped • 4-3-1

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Syafiq Bin Irwan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.36
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.77
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Draw	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick McGrath

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jarod Tucker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wai Hong Tang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Donovon Jose Panganiban (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

85:15

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Matt Quigley

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.18
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.29
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Ryan Hill

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Denny Sunarjo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.18
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.33
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.25
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Rayland Luiz Duarte

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.57
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Donovon Jose Panganiban

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.78
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.37
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

KC Lui

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natalie Birch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.72
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kai Yang Yuen

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Samuel Angelo Regalado

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.22
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Henry Leasure

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.74
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Anditya Tornando

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Daren Choo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jun Wei Hiew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Tanner Lee

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.