Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Calling: Singapore 2025
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harry Boulton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 9: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18
Round 12: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mohammed Mikail Bin Md Raffee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Randy Stephen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Hodges (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Melvin Chow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiang jun Wee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Syafiq Bin Irwan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarod Tucker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wai Hong Tang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Donovon Jose Panganiban (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Round 7: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Denny Sunarjo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natalie Birch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jun Wei Hiew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.