Calling: Singapore 2025 - Marlynn, Treasure Hunter (CC)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cas Mulder

dropped • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuan Haoxiang (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 92:8

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 23:77

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs In GwangYeol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ben Ong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	90%	Win	✓	0.08	0.01
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.99
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

John McCreanor

dropped • 3-5-0

12%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Winter Fong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ko yunsik (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs James Hodges (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Win	✗	0.76	2.03

Kyle Tang

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.51
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.