Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Derry (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Puttichai Khajornkeittikhun (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Parth Patel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ives K (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Puttichai Khajornkeittikhun (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee koon Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 7: Win vs Jarren Goh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoong Kean Leong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs joel amad (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee koon Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.