Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Calling: Singapore 2025
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Derry (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Puttichai Khajornkeittikhun (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Win vs Parth Patel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Ives K (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Puttichai Khajornkeittikhun (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Lee koon Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jarren Goh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoong Kean Leong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs joel amad (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Lee koon Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.