Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 11-3-0
64%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
Dash I/O
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
dropped 7-6-0
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Bravo, Showstopper
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
dropped 5-2-1
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Katsu, the Wanderer
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Xun Neo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Katsu, the Wanderer
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dawei Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kok Tong Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Syafiq Sulaimun (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Katsu, the Wanderer
!!
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
dropped 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Huang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Dash I/O
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Puffin, Hightail
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs In GwangYeol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
dropped 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 0-6-0
67%
Meta
-3.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mervyn Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
!!
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
dropped 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Bravo, Showstopper
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.