Prism, Awakener of Sol
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lestart Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Tucker (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-1
69%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoong Kean Leong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stuart Myers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs shao hong koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Ian Chan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hermann Yeo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ives K (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elaine Hamontree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Yeong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Parth Patel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robert Wise (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dale O'Brien (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donovon Jose Panganiban (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Poon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Ong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Win vs Gideon Law (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
88%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Anderson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Allan Tan GH (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alissa Ellingson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xiang jun Wee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mohammed Mikail Bin Md Raffee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Ong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elton Siang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Angelo Regalado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Poon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jie Rui C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Hodges (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Salvador (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.