Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Singapore 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Adrian Samyudia

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Elaine Hamontree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bryan Huang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.29
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.77
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sarah Nicholas

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Edwin Kan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 20:80

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.43
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Wayne Tay

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.