Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Heitor Pooli Barbosa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 12: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
12th • 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Zeni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Breno Santos (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
15th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
6.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bruno Santos (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leonardo Lavorato (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
27th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Alda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caio Bal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
29th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erick Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Round 2: Win vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Enzo Braga e Franco (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs LUCAS DE OLIVEIRA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
34th • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Boim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Silvério Oliveira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Caliman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caio Mafra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Veloso Sitis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs LUCAS DE OLIVEIRA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Enzo Braga e Franco (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Zeni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Santana (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.