Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Flávio Castro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.