Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

13th 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
6.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabiano Shigueyoshi Shimada Watanabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caio Bal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!!
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
33rd 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evandro Campos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Tocci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs LUIZ FERREIRA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
19th 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs André Lim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Sarubo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuri Pires (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jhony Oliveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Veloso Sitis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.