Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Brazil

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Victor Matsumoto

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Ian Nícolas Lemes Alves

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paulo Amora (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luís Fernando Sae (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.