National Championship 2025 - Brazil - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC) - FaB-Results

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Victor Matsumoto

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.41
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Ian Nícolas Lemes Alves

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.1

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paulo Amora (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luís Fernando Sae (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.