Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Brazil
Dash I/O
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
5.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joao Morato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs LUCAS DE OLIVEIRA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Win vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
31st • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
5.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
32nd • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs José Roberto Oliveira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Enzo Braga e Franco (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
16th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jhony Oliveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Colaco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Heitor Pooli Barbosa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Renan Albertino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Everton Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Zeni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.