National Championship 2025 - Brazil - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

José Roberto Oliveira

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Danilo Maeda dos Santos

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs LUCAS DE OLIVEIRA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Erick Souza

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Heitor Pooli Barbosa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Caio Mafra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Caio Mafra

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erick Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.