Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs frnacesco frigieri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
15th 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.7
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
10th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
27th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.1
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dorinthea Ironsong
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
28th 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
37th 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Di Persio (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Guastamacchio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Edoardo La Rosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
17th 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Colombo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Pistelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Dorinthea Ironsong
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Colonna (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.