Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Filippo Barbani

1st • 8-1-0

67%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.6

Surp

7.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Fabio Fierro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

80:20

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.12
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.13
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.77	2.36
R11	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.94
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.42
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.94
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.18

Lorenzo Latino

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs gabriele paletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.75
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Marcello Mutalipassi

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.