National Championship 2025 - Italy - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Filippo Barbani

1st • 8-1-0

78%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

6.0

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Fabio Fierro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.13
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.13
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.76
R11	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.48
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.76
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.17

Lorenzo Latino

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs gabriele paletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Marcello Mutalipassi

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.