National Championship 2025 - Italy - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Federico Sirri

3rd • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Fabio Fierro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.44
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.34
R10	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.97
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.92
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Lorenzo Bonaga

19th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.5

Diff

Deck

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 90:10

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniele Boselli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.03
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.42
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.52
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.17
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni

16th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.25
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.97
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Andrea Caregnato

26th • 4-2-0

17%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alessio Candido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Davide Brigida (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.50
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.84
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.55

Daniele Bigagli

18th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edoardo La Rosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Andrea Guastamacchio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.29
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	3.24
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Danilo Calcagno

53rd • 1-5-0

17%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessio Candido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.62
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Daniele Boselli

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.19
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

gabriele paletti

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.