Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Italy
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
7.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Megera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 14: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
7.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
29th • 6-0-0
50%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
6.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Davide Colonna (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alessio Candido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
14th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
7.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 12: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
12th • 4-2-0
17%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Zugna (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
21st • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
Round 10: Win vs Lorenzo Di Persio (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
33rd • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Flavio Miani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Forghieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matteo Megera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
47th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Leonardo Eterni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
50th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Di Persio (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Flavio Miani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gabriel Zugna (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mario De Stefano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
52nd • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Manuel Ruocco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs gabriele paletti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabio Fierro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Di Persio (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Brigida (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Boselli (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.