Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

48th 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessio Candido (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Colombo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Di Persio (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55th 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincenzo Di Maio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mario De Stefano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.