FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025 - Italy

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco D'Amendola
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gabriel Zugna (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Dash I/O
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Gennaro Ciampa Mango
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincenzo Di Maio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.