Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Witthawat Phanthanitlert

11th • 5-1-1

43%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Krit Bumrungjit (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.79
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Jakob Kernstock

9th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.19
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.33

Eric Nguyễn

15th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wachara Oranriksuphak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maytichai Sakulpojworachai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tanaphun Phuagkhaopong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.32
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.89
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.67

Patrick Prakobhiran

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kritsatorn saengweang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.