Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Krit Bumrungjit (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Apichai Apichainimitdee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.