Arakni, Marionette at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Arakni, Marionette

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

21st • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kritsatorn saengweang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thanapat Sing gam (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thanachart Thongwat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.64
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.90
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Narin Leelaporn

38th • 3-3-1

29%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thanachart Thongwat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.06
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Krit Bumrungjit

44th • 1-4-2

57%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Maytichai Sakulpojworachai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Thanapat Sing gam (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Max Karl Pendrey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Chantad Tanapisutporn

dropped • 2-2-1

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Max Karl Pendrey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aphiwat Metta (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs kantanat poom chukiat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Draw	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.55
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Phumin kidlertlam

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wachara Oranriksuphak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.