Fai, Rising Rebellion at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Fai, Rising Rebellion

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Emmanuel Onate

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ritwiset Namwiset (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thanat Chullamandala (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pongdanai Sriphueak

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wannachai Panchai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Natthapon Kamhaenghan

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aphiwat Metta

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rati Chiewlian (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

sasithorn sangjak

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dendom Talpad (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kritapat Puengsupan

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.