Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Dorinthea Ironsong

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tatthep Kasetsin

18th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mathee Tongskulrungrueng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.21
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.43
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.74
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jiggy de Asis

33rd • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kritapat Puengsupan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natthapon Kamhaenghan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Panithan Paramatikul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.36
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Ritwiset Namwiset

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Porramet Siswat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thanapat Sing gam (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Donlaphob Jitsuwanthaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.85

Kraithun Maneesinthu

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mathee Tongskulrungrueng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maytichai Sakulpojworachai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.09
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.