Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025 - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Natchanon kamhanghan

20th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wachara Oranriksuphak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panithan Paramatikul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Panithan Paramatikul

22nd • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sorawit Tienchaisirikun (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thanat Chullamandala (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.10
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Ashila Chuenbanyen

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Miti Vichyastit (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chedsadakorn Chomphubutra (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thanat Chullamandala (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Dendom Talpad

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs sasithorn sangjak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Miti Vichyastit

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.