Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
70%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thanat Chullamandala (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
13th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Prawit Jaicharee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Prakobhiran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
17th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phuntawit Lertphunyavuttikul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kantanat poom chukiat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
41st • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Donlaphob Jitsuwanthaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.