Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paramee(Time) Khamsommat (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Sorawit Tienchaisirikun (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Thanachart Thongwat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.