Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025
Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louie Poblete (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanaphun Phuagkhaopong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Loss vs Thanat Chullamandala (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.