
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-1-3
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 3: Win vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.