Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Max Karl Pendrey

42nd • 2-2-3

43%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mathee Tongskulrungrueng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kantanat poom chukiat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Pariwiwat Manajit (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Krit Bumrungjit (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Draw	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.21

Mathee Tongskulrungrueng

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Karl Pendrey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Apichai Apichainimitdee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wachara Oranriksuphak

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phumin kidlertlam (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Pattharawit Srisuphasun

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.