Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Dash I/O
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pongpon Pathakamin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Karl Pendrey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Dash I/O
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Aurora, Shooting Star
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
dropped 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyr Timberwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.