Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nithis Chaidaroon

40th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natthapon Kamhaenghan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Louie Poblete (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maytichai Sakulpojworachai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.60
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Tyr Timberwood

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wannachai Panchai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sorawit Tienchaisirikun (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thanapat Sing gam (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Chedsadakorn Chomphubutra

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Phuntawit Lertphunyavuttikul

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.