Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chedsadakorn Chomphubutra (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aphiwat Metta (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kampanart Koisiriphong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Karl Pendrey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natthaworn Raungsiripinyo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.