Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chedsadakorn Chomphubutra (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.