Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025

Viserai, Rune Blood

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jas Tin Lim

3rd • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Donlaphob Jitsuwanthaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louie Poblete (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.40
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.35
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Thanat Chullamandala

14th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kampanart Koisiriphong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paramee(Time) Khamsommat (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

85:15

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Panithan Paramatikul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 87:13

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.39
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.18
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.18
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.21

Porramet Siswat

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ritwiset Namwiset (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Yusi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Nakon Changrukit

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.