Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened Bangkok 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nitipoom Soijit (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.