Viserai, Rune Blood at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened - SCG CON Columbus
Viserai, Rune Blood
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
3rd • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bray (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Parsons (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Shope (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Darin Key (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Charles Simmons (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
17th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs David McCartney (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Bradley Hess (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
30th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kaleb Jarrett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Garcia (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
35th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs David Massey (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Garcia (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Bradley Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Thomas (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
39th • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs isaac Stanley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Thomas (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Davison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Draw vs Samuel Parsons (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Draw |
45th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Bryant Siders (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Parsons (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Pierce Gumm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
51st • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs isaac Stanley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs James Anderson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jerry Neal (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Bryant Siders (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.