Zen, Tamer of Purpose at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dan Groseclose

1st • 9-1-0

80%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.8

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.17
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.68
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R6	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.76
R10	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Wyatt Goehring

3rd • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Colby Corder (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Austin Henry (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Timothy Scroggs

18th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Lemont Peyton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Logan McNeely (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.48
R3	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cedric DeRouchie

27th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Isaac Davison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Blake Holeman (Unknown)

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.21
R6	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin Henry

29th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Colby Corder (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Salem Hunt (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Charles Ligato (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.