Dromai, Ash Artist

Dromai, Ash Artist

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

28th 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bryant Siders (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Dash I/O
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Thomas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Chane, Bound by Shadow
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Aurora, Shooting Star
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
dropped 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Iyslander, Stormbind
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs David McCartney (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Kano, Dracai of Aether
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kaleb Jarrett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 70:30
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Raposo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tawab (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 75:25
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Aurora, Shooting Star
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Scott Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Unknown)
Iyslander, Stormbind
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Vince Biamonte (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.