Bravo, Star of the Show
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Pierce Gumm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bradley Hess (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sawyer Stalcup (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
11th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Blake Holeman (Unknown)
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Devin McAtee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Darin Key (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Logan McNeely (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Shope (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Colin Ross (Unknown)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Davison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
25th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs jacob miller (Unknown)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Hayslip (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ren Fisk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
37th • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Davison (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs isaac Stanley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Draw vs Patrick Nelson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Parsons (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Darin Key (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Hess (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs James Anderson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Salem Hunt (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs David Massey (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.