Zen, Tamer of Purpose
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
90%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christofer Lindholm (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Elton Åhman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jesper Lindström (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
3rd • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrik Nilsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Karlin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Leino (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nic Palm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Vong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Dahlström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Love (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesper Lindström (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Ramirez givell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nic Palm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
17th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Moynagh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
35th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Linus Lindroth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Tallstig (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesper Siljekvist (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jiahao Chen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
23rd • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Leroy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lauri Lehto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Loss vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toni Savolainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 75% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nic Palm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christofer Lindholm (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ville Schalin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Tallstig (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Ramirez givell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antti Tikkakoski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Ståleker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elton Åhman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Joel Halvars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Ståleker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Day (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
45th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Reis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Quentin Leroy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Vong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lewis Day (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.