FaB-Results

Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Stockholm 2024

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luca Love
dropped • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Adam Hove
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Romans Asachovs (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antton Valkama (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Ståleker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.