Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Stockholm 2024
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antton Valkama (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Halvars (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Vestin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luca Love (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aleksi Mäkinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Jarrett Yu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.