Fai, Rising Rebellion at Battle Hardened: Stockholm 2024
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Vestin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emilia Mattsson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Jonsson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Nicklas Holm (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.