Kassai, Cintari Sellsword at Battle Hardened: Las Vegas

Kassai, Cintari Sellsword

26 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Yunck

14th • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Grace (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Wesley Dong (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Fay (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Colin Turner (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.83
R9	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Charlton Smith

17th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Kordell Green (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Charles Simmons (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs John McGovern (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Josh Gardner (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Brian Bardolf Fawcett (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.31
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.83
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Chris Rowland

21st • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Wilson Yu (Unknown)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Thorin Bein (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Connor Feezor (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.70
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.98
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zachary Suchomel

50th • 6-2-1

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs brynn nieboer (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Draw vs Nicholas Whitley (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Sara Whitcomb (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kordell Green (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Raj Giri (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Timothy Barron (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs John McGovern (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Damon Terry (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.23
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

David Ross

41st • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Moore (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jesse Machusak (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Xavier Byrne (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Brian Bardolf Fawcett (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Maxwell (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.17
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Damon Terry

57th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Dalton (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Maxwell (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Nick Nobriga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.84
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R7	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Johnny Wedzicha

60th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Gabe Sher (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Reid (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Nick Rutkowski (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Stephen Leany (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.42
R6	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R7	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.18
R8	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Anthony Galleran

68th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Chiechi (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Lane MacTavish (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Lara (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Andy Portillo (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.40
R8	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Lane MacTavish

69th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Green (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Herman (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs David Sitrick (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Gavin Myre (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Piotr Gruszczyński

99th • 4-4-1

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Koosha Jahani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Rachel Stoddard (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Draw vs Gabe Sher (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Becker (Shiyana, Diamond Gemini) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Shiyana, Diamond Gemini	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

blake smith

100th • 4-4-1

78%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Han Vi (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Metz (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs alberto diaz (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Draw vs Nick Nobriga (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Charles Simmons (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.08
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Draw	✓	0.70	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Erick Avila

93rd • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Steven Becks (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Reid (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Becker (Shiyana, Diamond Gemini) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs roque roque_flores (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Gregory Stahl (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Shiyana, Diamond Gemini	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Charles Simmons

108th • 3-6-0

89%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Gruszczyński (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Luis Robles (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs John Ritchey (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs John McGovern (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Shoopman (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs blake smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.17
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Connor Feezor

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Perlewitz (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Harper (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Rose smyth (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michael Fay (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R3	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.94
R7	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick Deschamps

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Todd Woodworth (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Long Dao (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Hahn (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.57
R4	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R5	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jamal Salem Saedidaryan

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Chris Legg (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Flores (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lin (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Henry Gomez (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Andy Portillo (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Gruszczyński (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Phillip Reardon

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bartram (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Brian Bardolf Fawcett (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs John Ritchey (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R7	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Taylor Metz

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Martin Cox (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs blake smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Tedder (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Bill Early (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Thorin Bein (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.43
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.50
R6	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Timothy Barron

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Tang (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.13
R6	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xavier Byrne

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brian Bardolf Fawcett (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs CODY READY (Prism) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Justin Whitcomb (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs David Ross (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R3	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.59
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bryce Henschel

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Matt LeGare (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Amber Zee (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.61
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Kieth Seith

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Brown (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Dave Lin (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Tee Thebeau

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Herman (Rhinar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Sara Whitcomb (Dorinthea) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Vynnset) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.39
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Leigh Pushard

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Reid (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Thi (Kano) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Turner (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.01
R3	Blitz	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Matt Pollitt

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs David Ross (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bryson Peek

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Fay (Chane) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Tang (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.