Battle Hardened: Las Vegas - Lexi (Blitz)

Lexi

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jesse Harper

dropped • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kyle Dockum (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lin (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Feezor (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Kieth Seith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs John Ritchey (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Bryant Pong (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Barron (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs blake smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sean H

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Bunn (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.