Battle Hardened: Las Vegas - Dorinthea (Blitz)

Dorinthea

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua Lau

30th • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Chase Osborne (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Leany (Chane) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Thorin Bein (Chane) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Tim Herman (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.86
R4	Blitz	Chane	15%	Win	✗	0.83	1.15
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Phil Hensley

66th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Aubrey Waltman (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Flores (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Matt LeGare (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Ritchey

75th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Darren Rennie (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jesse Harper (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Phillip Reardon (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Stephen Leany (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs roque roque_flores (Unknown)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.16
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R9	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bryant Pong

97th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Koosha Jahani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Larsen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michel Corvino (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Jesse Harper (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Rodel Rodea (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick Nobriga

109th • 3-4-2

78%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Scott Wynrose (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs roque roque_flores (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Damon Terry (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Draw vs Jasper Hicks (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Draw vs blake smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R9	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aaron Lara

111th • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Josef Mendez (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Maxwell (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Portillo (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremy Pennington

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Rutkowski (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Peter Desautels (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jayson DeVaney (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Phillip Reardon (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs John Zapata (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.09
R6	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle McKeough

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Chang (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Thi (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Biggs (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sara Whitcomb

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

15:85

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Thorin Bein (Chane) - Expected: 17:83

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Green (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Tyruss Sennett

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Metz (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Anthony Chiechi (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Tang (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.