Battle Hardened: Las Vegas - Riptide (Blitz)

Riptide

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Tang

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Biggs (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Bryson Peek (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 67:33

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Barron (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R6	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Dockum

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Matt LeGare (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barnes (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Carlos Cruz

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Luke MacDowall (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.