Briar
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Reardon (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Adam Jessell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Josh Gardner (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Nick Rutkowski (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R10 Blitz
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
19th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Chang (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Luke MacDowall (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Dong (Chane) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Caplinger (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Damon Terry (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Win vs Rhea Adams (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism | 50% | Win |
37th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Brock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Raj Parikh (Chane) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Miller (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Michael Dalton (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs William Bradshaw (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Long Dao (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Win vs Michael Fay (Chane) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Chane | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Cudney (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs John Padavic (Chane) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Lane MacTavish (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Advent of Thrones | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.