Sunday Showdown: Shinjuku 2026 - Dorinthea (SAGE)

Dorinthea

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

YIKAI WANG

54th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

4.2

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Briar) - Expected: 10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 風太荒井 (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs レオン藤倉 (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs naoki tsuji (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Herzner (Briar) - Expected: 10:90, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Win	✗	0.90	3.32

Tomoko Ishimaru

67th • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Naoki Sato (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Gammons (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 小柳元輝 (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Draw vs 将貴山田 (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 克夫梅澤 (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

匠哉小島

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chihaya Ishimaru (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs akio harada (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.